Pair #3814

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-TKIM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Tom Kim finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4941

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tom Kim finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-TKIM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Tom Kim make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1301

YES ask: 0.5900
NO ask: 0.5000
Last: 0.5900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tom Kim has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:06:00Z

Reasoning: If Tom Kim finishes top 10, he must have made the cut (you cannot finish top 10 without making the cut). However, making the cut does not imply finishing top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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