Pair #3813

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-TKIM

Will Tom Kim lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 35820

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tom Kim is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-TKIM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Tom Kim finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4941

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tom Kim finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:05:41Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee a top 10 finish, and finishing top 10 does not require having led after R1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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