Pair #3811

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-TKIM

Will Tom Kim win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 66852

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tom Kim wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-TKIM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Tom Kim finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4941

YES ask: 0.1000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.2000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Tom Kim finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:05:41Z

Reasoning: If Tom Kim wins the Houston Open, he necessarily finishes top 10 (the winner is 1st place). The reverse does not hold — finishing top 10 does not mean winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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