Pair #3810

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-TKIM

Will Tom Kim win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 66852

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tom Kim wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-TKIM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Tom Kim make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1301

YES ask: 0.5900
NO ask: 0.5000
Last: 0.5900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tom Kim has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:05:41Z

Reasoning: If Tom Kim wins the Houston Open, he must have made the cut — you cannot win a tournament without surviving the cut. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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