Pair #3806

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-TKIM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Tom Kim make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1301

YES ask: 0.5900
NO ask: 0.5000
Last: 0.5900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tom Kim has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-TKIM

Will Tom Kim win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Tom Kim
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 425844

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Tom Kim wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:05:41Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and making the cut at the Houston Open are independent events at different tournaments. Neither logically necessitates the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.5010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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