Pair #3803

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-WZAL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Will Zalatoris finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Will Zalatoris
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2528

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Will Zalatoris finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-WZAL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Will Zalatoris finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Will Zalatoris
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5575

YES ask: 0.1800
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Will Zalatoris finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:05:41Z

Reasoning: If Zalatoris finishes top 10 (including ties), he necessarily also finishes top 20 (including ties). The reverse does not hold — top 20 does not imply top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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