Pair #3802

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-WZAL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Will Zalatoris finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Will Zalatoris
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5575

YES ask: 0.1800
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Will Zalatoris finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-WZAL

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Will Zalatoris make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Will Zalatoris
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 277

YES ask: 0.6300
NO ask: 0.6500
Last: 0.6300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Will Zalatoris has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:05:41Z

Reasoning: If Zalatoris finishes top 20, he must have made the cut (you cannot finish top 20 without surviving the cut). However, making the cut does not imply finishing top 20.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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