KXNHLWEST-26-SJ
Western Conference Finals Winner?
Series: KXNHLWEST
Entity: San Jose Sharks
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 92376
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
Pair #380
KXNHLPLAYOFF-26-SJ
Will the San Jose Sharks be one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers?
Series: KXNHLPLAYOFF
Entity: San Jose Sharks
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 295318
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
Rules
If the San Jose Sharks are one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:08:25Z
Reasoning: Winning the Western Conference Finals means San Jose reached and won that round, which requires having made the playoffs. So KXNHLWEST-26-SJ → KXNHLPLAYOFF-26-SJ. Making the playoffs does not imply winning the Conference Finals.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
-11.06%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.0100
Days to maturity:
31
Hurdle yield:
4.22%
Excess yield:
-15.27%
BELOW HURDLE
Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T15:26:55Z