Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-WZAL
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Will Zalatoris make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Will Zalatoris
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 277
YES ask: 0.6300
NO ask: 0.6500
Last: 0.6300
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Will Zalatoris has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-WZAL
Will Will Zalatoris lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?
Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Will Zalatoris
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3629
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Will Zalatoris is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:05:23Z
Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could collapse in Round 2 and miss the cut). Making the cut does not imply leading after Round 1.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$0.6600
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A