Pair #3792

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-MHOW

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Mason Howell finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Mason Howell
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 294

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mason Howell finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-MHOW

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Mason Howell finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Mason Howell
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5034

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mason Howell finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:05:23Z

Reasoning: If Howell finishes top 10, he necessarily finishes top 20 as well. Top 20 does not imply top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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