Pair #3791

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-MHOW

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Mason Howell finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Mason Howell
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 294

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mason Howell finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-MHOW

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Mason Howell make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Mason Howell
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1680

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mason Howell has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:05:23Z

Reasoning: If Howell finishes top 10, he must have made the cut to play all rounds. Making the cut does not imply a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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