Pair #3790

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-MHOW

Will Mason Howell lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Mason Howell
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 560

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mason Howell is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-MHOW

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Mason Howell finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Mason Howell
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5034

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mason Howell finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:05:23Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee a top 20 finish (could miss cut or fall down leaderboard). And finishing top 20 does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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