Pair #3788

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-MHOW

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Mason Howell make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Mason Howell
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1680

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.1000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mason Howell has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-MHOW

Will Mason Howell lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Mason Howell
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 560

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mason Howell is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:05:02Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut — a player can shoot a low R1 score and still miss the cut after R2. Making the cut does not require leading after R1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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