Pair #3787

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-MHOW

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Mason Howell finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Mason Howell
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 294

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mason Howell finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-MHOW

Will Mason Howell win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Mason Howell
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 601551

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mason Howell wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:05:02Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters is a separate tournament from the Houston Open. Neither result implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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