Pair #3786

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-MHOW

Will Mason Howell lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Mason Howell
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 560

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mason Howell is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-MHOW

Will Mason Howell win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Mason Howell
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 601551

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Mason Howell wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:05:02Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters is a completely separate event from leading after Round 1 of the Houston Open. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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