Pair #3785

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-RFOX

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Ryan Fox finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Ryan Fox
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 7261

YES ask: 0.0700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ryan Fox finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-RFOX

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Ryan Fox make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Ryan Fox
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 564

YES ask: 0.2900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.3100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ryan Fox has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:05:02Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 overall in the tournament necessarily means the player made the cut. The reverse does not hold: making the cut does not guarantee a top-20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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