Pair #3783

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-RFOX

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Ryan Fox finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Ryan Fox
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2827

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ryan Fox finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-RFOX

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Ryan Fox make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Ryan Fox
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 564

YES ask: 0.2900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.3100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ryan Fox has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:05:02Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 overall in the tournament necessarily means the player made the cut (you cannot finish top 10 without having survived the cut). The reverse does not hold: making the cut does not guarantee a top-10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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