Pair #3782

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-RFOX

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Ryan Fox make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Ryan Fox
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 564

YES ask: 0.2900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.3100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ryan Fox has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-RFOX

Will Ryan Fox lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Ryan Fox
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 12730

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ryan Fox is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:05:02Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut — a player can lead R1 and still miss the cut. And making the cut does not require leading after R1. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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