Pair #3776

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-SIM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sungjae Im make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Sungjae Im
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 3722

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.7200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sungjae Im has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1TOP10-TECHO26-SIM

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sungjae Im finish top 10 in Round 1?

Series: KXPGAR1TOP10
Entity: Sungjae Im
Expiration: 2026-03-26T22:00:00Z
Volume: 789

YES ask: 0.1300
NO ask: 0.9400
Last: 0.1400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Sungjae Im finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:04:43Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 in Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could withdraw or have a terrible Round 2), and making the cut does not require a top 10 Round 1 finish. No logical necessity in either direction.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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