Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-KKIT
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Kurt Kitayama finish top 5?
Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Kurt Kitayama
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1623
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0500
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Kurt Kitayama finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-KKIT
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Kurt Kitayama make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Kurt Kitayama
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1746
YES ask: 0.9800
NO ask: 0.1600
Last: 0.9800
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Kurt Kitayama has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:04:20Z
Reasoning: Finishing top 5 necessarily means the player made the cut. However, making the cut does not imply finishing top 5.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.9800
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A