Pair #3762

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-KKIT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Kurt Kitayama make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Kurt Kitayama
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1746

YES ask: 0.9800
NO ask: 0.1600
Last: 0.9800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Kurt Kitayama has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-KKIT

Will Kurt Kitayama lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Kurt Kitayama
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 5959

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 0.9800
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Kurt Kitayama is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:04:20Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could have a very bad Round 2), and making the cut does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.1900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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