Pair #3760

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-KKIT

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Kurt Kitayama make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Kurt Kitayama
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1746

YES ask: 0.9800
NO ask: 0.1600
Last: 0.9800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kurt Kitayama has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-KKIT

Will Kurt Kitayama win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Kurt Kitayama
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 4168686

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Kurt Kitayama wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:04:20Z

Reasoning: These are two entirely different tournaments. Winning the Masters has no logical bearing on making the cut at the Houston Open, and vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.1610
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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