Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-KKIT
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Kurt Kitayama make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Kurt Kitayama
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 1746
YES ask: 0.9800
NO ask: 0.1600
Last: 0.9800
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Kurt Kitayama has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOUR-MAST26-KKIT
Will Kurt Kitayama win the Masters Tournament?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Kurt Kitayama
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 4168686
YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Kurt Kitayama wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:04:20Z
Reasoning: These are two entirely different tournaments. Winning the Masters has no logical bearing on making the cut at the Houston Open, and vice versa.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$0.1610
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A