Pair #3759

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-RNEE

Will Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1187

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-RNEE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 317

YES ask: 0.2000
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.3900

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:04:20Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee a top 20 finish (a player could collapse over subsequent rounds and miss the cut or finish outside top 20), and finishing top 20 does not require leading after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2000
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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