Pair #3756

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-RNEE

Will Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1187

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-RNEE

Will Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 316747

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:04:20Z

Reasoning: These are two entirely different tournaments. Winning the Masters has no logical bearing on leading after Round 1 of the Houston Open, and vice versa.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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