Pair #3750

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-RGER

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Ryan Gerard finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Ryan Gerard
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4874

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ryan Gerard finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-RGER

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Ryan Gerard make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Ryan Gerard
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 303

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Ryan Gerard has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:04:02Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 in the tournament requires having made the cut. However, making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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