Pair #3747

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-RGER

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Ryan Gerard make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Ryan Gerard
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 303

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1400

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryan Gerard has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-RGER

Will Ryan Gerard lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Ryan Gerard
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 17766

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryan Gerard is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:04:02Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not guarantee making the cut (a player could lead R1 but play poorly in R2 and miss the cut), and making the cut does not require having led after R1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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