Pair #3745

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-RGER

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Ryan Gerard make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Ryan Gerard
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 303

YES ask: 0.0900
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1400

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Rules

If Ryan Gerard has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-RGER

Will Ryan Gerard win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Ryan Gerard
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1660993

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Ryan Gerard wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:04:02Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters Tournament and making the cut at the Texas Children's Houston Open are entirely separate events at different tournaments. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0010
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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