Pair #374

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLATLANTIC-26-TOR

Will Toronto Maple Leafs win the NHL Atlantic Division?

Series: KXNHLATLANTIC
Entity: Toronto Maple Leafs
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 3307

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

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Rules

If the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025-2026 NHL Atlantic Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLEAST-26-TOR

Eastern Conference Finals Winner?

Series: KXNHLEAST
Entity: Toronto Maple Leafs
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 35729

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Toronto Maple Leafs wins the Eastern Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:08:08Z

Reasoning: Winning the Eastern Conference Finals does not require winning the Atlantic Division (could be a wild card). Winning the Atlantic Division does not require winning the Eastern Conference Finals.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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