Pair #3738

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-MBRE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Michael Brennan finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Michael Brennan
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 2510

YES ask: 0.0400
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Michael Brennan finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-MBRE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Michael Brennan finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Michael Brennan
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9712

YES ask: 0.4800
NO ask: 0.5600
Last: 0.4800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Michael Brennan finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:03:44Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 necessarily means finishing top 20 as well. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue