Pair #3735

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-MBRE

Will Michael Brennan lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Michael Brennan
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 27210

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Michael Brennan is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-MBRE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Michael Brennan finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Michael Brennan
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9712

YES ask: 0.4800
NO ask: 0.5600
Last: 0.4800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Michael Brennan finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:03:44Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not necessitate finishing top 20 overall, and finishing top 20 does not necessitate leading after Round 1. These are independent events.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue