Pair #3733

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-MBRE

Will Michael Brennan win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Michael Brennan
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 400554

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Michael Brennan wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-MBRE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Michael Brennan finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Michael Brennan
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9712

YES ask: 0.4800
NO ask: 0.5600
Last: 0.4800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Michael Brennan finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:03:44Z

Reasoning: Winning the Texas Children's Houston Open means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 20. The reverse does not hold.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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