Pair #3732

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-MBRE

Will Michael Brennan win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Michael Brennan
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 400554

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Michael Brennan wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-MBRE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Michael Brennan finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Michael Brennan
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 10523

YES ask: 0.1800
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1800

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Michael Brennan finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:03:44Z

Reasoning: Winning the Texas Children's Houston Open means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 10. The reverse does not hold — top 10 does not mean winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1800
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue