Pair #3731

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-MBRE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Michael Brennan finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Michael Brennan
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9712

YES ask: 0.4800
NO ask: 0.5600
Last: 0.4800

View on Kalshi

Rules If Michael Brennan finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-MBRE

Will Michael Brennan win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Michael Brennan
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1076064

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Michael Brennan wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:03:44Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and finishing top 20 at the Texas Children's Houston Open are separate events at different tournaments. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.5610
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue