Pair #373

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXNHLEAST-26-TOR

Eastern Conference Finals Winner?

Series: KXNHLEAST
Entity: Toronto Maple Leafs
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 35729

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

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Rules

If Toronto Maple Leafs wins the Eastern Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXNHLPLAYOFF-26-TOR

Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers?

Series: KXNHLPLAYOFF
Entity: Toronto Maple Leafs
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 56652

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If the Toronto Maple Leafs are one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:08:08Z
Code version: N/A

Reasoning: Winning the Eastern Conference Finals means Toronto competed in and won a playoff series, so they must have been a playoff qualifier. Making the playoffs does not imply winning the conference finals.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Est. yield (after fees): N/A
Cost: $1.0100 + ~$0.0007 est. fees
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T09:44:09Z

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