KXNHLEAST-26-TOR
Eastern Conference Finals Winner?
Series: KXNHLEAST
Entity: Toronto Maple Leafs
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 35729
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
Pair #373
KXNHLPLAYOFF-26-TOR
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers?
Series: KXNHLPLAYOFF
Entity: Toronto Maple Leafs
Expiration: 2026-04-17T14:00:00Z
Volume: 56652
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
Rules
If the Toronto Maple Leafs are one of the 2025-26 Pro Hockey Playoff Qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:08:08Z
Reasoning: Winning the Eastern Conference Finals means Toronto competed in and won a playoff series, so they must have been a playoff qualifier. Making the playoffs does not imply winning the conference finals.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
-11.06%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.0100
Days to maturity:
31
Hurdle yield:
4.22%
Excess yield:
-15.27%
BELOW HURDLE
Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T09:44:09Z