Pair #3722

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-RHOJ

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Rasmus Hojgaard finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Rasmus Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1580

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rasmus Hojgaard finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-RHOJ

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Rasmus Hojgaard finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Rasmus Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 4928

YES ask: 0.1700
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.1700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rasmus Hojgaard finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:03:25Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means finishing top 20 as well. The reverse does not hold — a top 20 finish may not be top 10.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1700
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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