Pair #3721

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-RHOJ

Will Rasmus Hojgaard lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Rasmus Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3101

YES ask: 0.0200
NO ask: 0.9900
Last: 0.0200

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rasmus Hojgaard is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-RHOJ

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Rasmus Hojgaard finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Rasmus Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1580

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Rasmus Hojgaard finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:03:25Z

Reasoning: Leading after Round 1 does not necessitate a top 10 finish (a player can fade), and finishing top 10 does not require having led after Round 1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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