Pair #3720

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-RHOJ

Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Rasmus Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 658646

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Rasmus Hojgaard wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-RHOJ

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Rasmus Hojgaard finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Rasmus Hojgaard
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1580

YES ask: 0.0300
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Rasmus Hojgaard finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:03:25Z

Reasoning: Winning the Texas Children's Houston Open means finishing 1st, which is necessarily within the top 10. The reverse does not hold — a top 10 finish does not imply a win.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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