Pair #3715

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP20-TECHO26-ARAI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Aaron Rai finish top 20?

Series: KXPGATOP20
Entity: Aaron Rai
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 3395

YES ask: 0.2400
NO ask: 0.7800
Last: 0.2400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Aaron Rai finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-ARAI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Aaron Rai make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Aaron Rai
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 814

YES ask: 0.6400
NO ask: 0.4000
Last: 0.6000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Aaron Rai has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:03:03Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 20 necessarily means making the cut. Making the cut does not guarantee a top 20 finish (a player can make the cut and finish outside top 20).

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.4200
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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