Pair #3713

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-ARAI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Aaron Rai finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Aaron Rai
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 978

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 0.9200
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Aaron Rai finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-ARAI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Aaron Rai make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Aaron Rai
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 814

YES ask: 0.6400
NO ask: 0.4000
Last: 0.6000

View on Kalshi

Rules If Aaron Rai has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:03:03Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 necessarily means making the cut. Making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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