Pair #3710

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-ARAI

Will Aaron Rai win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Aaron Rai
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 53838

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Aaron Rai wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-ARAI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Aaron Rai finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Aaron Rai
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 978

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 0.9200
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Aaron Rai finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:03:03Z

Reasoning: If Aaron Rai wins the Houston Open, he finishes 1st, which is within the top 10. The reverse is not true — finishing top 10 does not mean winning.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.1100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue