Pair #3709

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOUR-TECHO26-ARAI

Will Aaron Rai win the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Aaron Rai
Expiration: 2026-03-29T00:00:00Z
Volume: 53838

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Aaron Rai wins the Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-ARAI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Aaron Rai make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Aaron Rai
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 814

YES ask: 0.6400
NO ask: 0.4000
Last: 0.6000

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Aaron Rai has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:03:03Z

Reasoning: If Aaron Rai wins the Houston Open, he must have made the cut — you cannot win a tournament without making the cut. The reverse is not true.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.6400
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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