Pair #3708

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-ARAI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Aaron Rai finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Aaron Rai
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 978

YES ask: 0.1100
NO ask: 0.9200
Last: 0.1100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Aaron Rai finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-ARAI

Will Aaron Rai win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Aaron Rai
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 1958921

YES ask: 0.0010
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0010

View on Kalshi

Rules If Aaron Rai wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:03:03Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and finishing top 10 at the Houston Open are independent events at different tournaments. Neither implies the other.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.9210
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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