Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-HLI
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Hao-Tong Li finish top 10?
Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Hao-Tong Li
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1497
YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Hao-Tong Li finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-HLI
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Hao-Tong Li make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Hao-Tong Li
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 216
YES ask: 0.6200
NO ask: 0.5800
Last: 0.7700
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Hao-Tong Li has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:03:03Z
Reasoning: If Hao-Tong Li finishes top 10, he must have made the cut (you cannot finish top 10 without making the cut). The reverse is not true — making the cut does not guarantee a top 10 finish.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$1.6200
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A