Pair #3705

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-HLI

Will Hao-Tong Li lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Hao-Tong Li
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 15847

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Hao-Tong Li is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-HLI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Hao-Tong Li finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Hao-Tong Li
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1497

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Hao-Tong Li finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:02:44Z

Reasoning: Leading after R1 does not guarantee a top-10 finish, and finishing top 10 does not require leading after R1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0600
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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