Pair #3704

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-HLI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Hao-Tong Li make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Hao-Tong Li
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 216

YES ask: 0.6200
NO ask: 0.5800
Last: 0.7700

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Hao-Tong Li has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAR1LEAD-TECHO26-HLI

Will Hao-Tong Li lead at the end of Round 1 in the Texas Children's Houston Open?

Series: KXPGAR1LEAD
Entity: Hao-Tong Li
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 15847

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules

If Hao-Tong Li is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:02:44Z

Reasoning: Leading after R1 does not guarantee making the cut, and making the cut does not require leading after R1.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $0.5900
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

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