Pair #3701

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-HLI

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Hao-Tong Li finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Hao-Tong Li
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1497

YES ask: 0.0600
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0300

View on Kalshi

Rules If Hao-Tong Li finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGATOUR-MAST26-HLI

Will Hao-Tong Li win the Masters Tournament?

Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Hao-Tong Li
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 6135375

YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 0.9920
Last: 0.0100

View on Kalshi

Rules If Hao-Tong Li wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:02:44Z

Reasoning: Winning the Masters and finishing top 10 at the Houston Open are separate tournaments with no logical dependency.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.0100
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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