Antecedent (if this happens)
KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-HLI
Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Hao-Tong Li make the cut?
Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Hao-Tong Li
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 216
YES ask: 0.6200
NO ask: 0.5800
Last: 0.7700
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Hao-Tong Li has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)
KXPGATOUR-MAST26-HLI
Will Hao-Tong Li win the Masters Tournament?
Series: KXPGATOUR
Entity: Hao-Tong Li
Expiration: 2026-04-12T23:00:00Z
Volume: 6135375
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 0.9920
Last: 0.0100
View on Kalshi
Rules
If Hao-Tong Li wins the Masters Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Confidence: none
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:02:44Z
Reasoning: Winning the Masters and making the cut at the Houston Open are separate tournaments with no logical dependency.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
N/A
Cost:
$0.5900
Days to maturity:
N/A
Hurdle yield:
N/A
Excess yield:
N/A