KXNHL-26-TOR
Will Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals?
Series: KXNHL
Entity: Toronto Maple Leafs
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 185312
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
KXNHLEAST-26-TOR
Eastern Conference Finals Winner?
Series: KXNHLEAST
Entity: Toronto Maple Leafs
Expiration: 2026-07-01T14:00:00Z
Volume: 35729
YES ask: 0.0100
NO ask: 1.0000
Last: 0.0100
Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-18T08:08:08Z
Reasoning: To win the Stanley Cup Finals, Toronto must have won the Eastern Conference Finals first. Winning the Stanley Cup necessarily implies winning the Eastern Conference Finals.
Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield:
-11.06%
(negative yield)
Cost:
$1.0100
Days to maturity:
31
Hurdle yield:
4.22%
Excess yield:
-15.27%
BELOW HURDLE
Decision: confirmed
Reviewed at: 2026-03-18T09:43:37Z