Pair #3698

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP5-TECHO26-SSTE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sam Stevens finish top 5?

Series: KXPGATOP5
Entity: Sam Stevens
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 9462

YES ask: 0.4500
NO ask: 0.5800
Last: 0.4600

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sam Stevens finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-SSTE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sam Stevens make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Sam Stevens
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 891

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 0.1800
Last: 0.8400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sam Stevens has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:02:44Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 5 requires having made the cut. Making the cut does not guarantee a top-5 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.5300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

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