Pair #3697

Antecedent (if this happens)

KXPGATOP10-TECHO26-SSTE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sam Stevens finish top 10?

Series: KXPGATOP10
Entity: Sam Stevens
Expiration: 2026-04-12T00:00:00Z
Volume: 1777

YES ask: 0.7700
NO ask: 0.2800
Last: 0.7700

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sam Stevens finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Consequent (then it means this happened or will happen)

KXPGAMAKECUT-TECHO26-SSTE

Texas Children's Houston Open: Will Sam Stevens make the cut?

Series: KXPGAMAKECUT
Entity: Sam Stevens
Expiration: 2026-03-27T22:00:00Z
Volume: 891

YES ask: 0.9500
NO ask: 0.1800
Last: 0.8400

View on Kalshi

Rules If Sam Stevens has made the cut at the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
LLM Screening

Confidence: high
Model: claude-sonnet-4-6
Screened: 2026-03-26T08:02:44Z

Reasoning: Finishing top 10 logically requires having made the cut. However, making the cut does not guarantee a top-10 finish.

Strategy: Buy NO on antecedent + YES on consequent
Yield: N/A
Cost: $1.2300
Days to maturity: N/A
Hurdle yield: N/A
Excess yield: N/A

Human Review

Not yet reviewed.

Authenticate

← Back to review queue